===the description of models for Nea Nikomedeia===

* all: model with all dates from Pyke & Yiouni (1996), prior on phase duration Normal(100,25) (Fig. 4)

* smaller: the preferred model, with three outliers and two charcoal dates taken out, prior on phase duration Normal(100,25) (Fig. 5)

* smaller_implicit_prior: as model "smaller", but with implicit prior on phase duration (in effect results in phase duration of 0-350 years at 95% probability) (Fig. 6)

* some_charcoal: differs from "smaller" by adding two charcoal dates P-1202 and P-1203A (Fig. 7)